Jaguars vs. Lions Prediction & Odds
The Jacksonville Jaguars head to Detroit to face the Lions on Sunday afternoon when Week 13’s afternoon slate begins at 1:00 PM ET. Can the Jaguars cover the 1-point spread as road underdogs?
The Jacksonville Jaguars are 4-7 through their first 11 games of 2022. Their best wins came against the Chargers and the Ravens. Their worst losses came against the Texans and the Broncos. The Jaguars are 4-7 ATS this season.
The Detroit Lions are 4-7 on the year. Their best wins came against the Commanders and the Giants. Their worst losses came against the Seahawks and the Patriots. The Lions are 7-4 ATS this season.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
459 Jacksonville Jaguars (+1) at 460 Detroit Lions (-1); O/U 51
1:00 PM ET, Sunday, December 4, 2022
Ford Field, Detroit, MI
Jaguars vs. Lions Public Betting Information
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that the public favors the Lions in this game. According to our numbers, 69% of public bets are on Detroit -1. Please note that this information is subject to change all the way up to kickoff, so be sure to check the link before you pick so you’re receiving the most accurate and up-to-date public betting data.
Jacksonville Jaguars DFS Spin
Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence had a career day against the Ravens on Sunday. The former #1 overall pick threw for 321 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions in Jacksonville’s thrilling 28-27 home win over Baltimore last weekend. Lawrence has been playing better as of late and might have some value against a Detroit defense that ranks 30th in the NFL in opponent yards per pass attempt.
Jaguars running back Travis Etienne Jr. left last week’s game with a foot injury. He was a limited practice participant on Thursday but is listed as probable to play against the Lions this Sunday. He would be an attractive DFS option against a Detroit defense that’s allowing 5.2 yards per rushing attempt, the second-worst mark in the league.
Detroit Lions DFS Spin
Detroit wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown has developed into a legit #1 threat. St. Brown had 9 catches for 122 yards and a touchdown against a good Buffalo secondary on Thanksgiving last weekend. That was his seventh game with at least 6 receptions and his third 100-yard receiving outing of the campaign. He should have some DFS value against a Jacksonville defense that ranks 25th in the NFL in opponent yards per pass attempt.
Lions running back Jamaal Williams leads the NFL in rushing touchdowns with 13. He has 5 games with multiple rushing touchdowns this season and has found the end zone 5 times in his last three games. This game could be a close contest, and that means the Lions will likely look to pound the ball with Williams and D’Andre Swift. There will be some risk as Jacksonville’s defense ranks 8th in the NFL in opponent yards per rushing attempt, but they’re tied for 14th in opponent rushing touchdowns per game.
Jaguars vs. Lions Betting Trends
Jacksonville is 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games in Week 13.
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an outright loss.
The over is 9-4 in Detroit’s last 13 games overall.
The over is 4-0 in Jacksonville’s last 4 games on field turf.
Jaguars vs. Lions Prediction:
I think Jacksonville quarterback Trevor Lawrence has turned a corner. In his last three games, Trevor Lawrence has completed 77.2% of his passes and has a touchdown pass-to-interception ratio of 6-0. Most importantly, the Jaguars have gone 2-1 during that stretch, and their only loss was on the road to the Chiefs. When it comes to the Lions, their defense is downright terrible. The Lions rank last in the NFL in opponent yards per play (6.3), opponent punts per offensive score (0.6), and opponent points per game (28.2). I can’t back a defense that’s as bad as Detroit’s and I think Trevor Lawrence will have a big game. For those reasons, I’ll fade the public and take the Jaguars and the points.
NFL WEEK 13 PREDICTION: JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS +1