The total for tonight’s Thursday Night Football matchup between the Lions and Packers is currently sitting at 45.5 points. What’s the best play when it comes to the over/under? Keep reading for odds, trends and our Lions at Packers over/under selection.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
101 Detroit Lions (-2) at 102 Green Bay Packers (+2); o/u 45.5
8:15 p.m. ET, Thursday, September 28, 2023
Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
TV: PRIME VIDEO
Lions at Packers Public Betting Information
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that 65% of public bettors are currently backing the Lions when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.
Detroit Lions DFS Spin
NFL Network’s Tom Pelissero reports David Montgomery (thigh) is expected to play in Week 4 against the Packers. After previously reporting Montgomery would miss Thursday night’s contest, Pelissero took to social media to correct his report, saying Montgomery is expected to play vs. the Packers. Montgomery’s return will likely relegate Jahmyr Gibbs back to more of a backup role in Week 4, after Montgomery had 38 opportunities to Gibbs’ 25 through the first two weeks. Montgomery will have RB2 upside against the Pack on Thursday night, while Gibbs could be more of a boom/bust RB3.
Green Bay Packers DFS Spin
NFL Network’s Tom Pelissero reports the team “will be cautious” with Christian Watson’s workload in Week 4 against the Lions. This should serve as an immediate red flag to fantasy managers who were hoping to roll out Watson in his first game back. The Packers boast the eighth-highest scoring offense in the league through three weeks, and have gotten by just fine without Watson. While his return will bolster the passing game, the 2-1 Packers probably don’t feel much urgency to rush Watson back to action after he spent nearly three full weeks recovering from a hamstring injury. Unless you’re desperate for a spark, Watson may be best left on fantasy benches in Week 4.
Lions at Packers Betting Trends
The Packers are 21-4 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Detroit
The Lions are is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games
Detroit 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Green Bay is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Lions at Packers Prediction:
Take the under. With Jordan Love under center, the Packers have been more methodical than explosive. Aaron Jones is also expected back tonight, which means Green Bay can starting leaning on their running game again. (The offense has looked different – and less effective – with A.J. Dillon as the lead back.) On the other side, Jared Goff carves up zone defenses and Green Bay plays as much zone coverage as any team in the league. I expect a lot of shorter throws that keep the clock moving tonight at Lambeau Field.
Lions at Packers NFL Prediction: LIONS/PACKERS UNDER 45.5
