Lions vs. Bears Prediction & Odds
The Detroit Lions head to Chicago to face the Bears on Sunday afternoon when Week 10’s NFL afternoon slate begins at 1:00 PM ET. Can the Lions cover the spread as 3-point road underdogs?
The Detroit Lions are 2-6 through their first 8 games of 2022. Their only wins were over the Commanders and the Packers. Their worst losses came against the Patriots and the Cowboys. The Lions are 4-4 ATS this year.
The Chicago Bears are 3-6 so far this season. Their best wins came over the 49ers and the Patriots. Their worst losses came against the Packers and the Commanders. The Bears are 4-4-1 ATS on the year.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
249 Detroit Lions (+3) at 250 Chicago Bears (-3); O/U 48.5
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 13, 2022
Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
Lions vs. Bears Public Betting Information
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that the public heavily favors the Bears in this game. According to our numbers, 78% of public bets are on Chicago -3. Please note that this information is subject to change all the way up to kickoff, so make sure to check the link before you pick so you’re receiving the most accurate and up-to-date public betting data.
Detroit Lions DFS Spin
Lions running back D’Andre Swift has been listed as questionable each of the past two weeks with ankle and shoulder injuries. He’s played the past two weeks but has only carried the ball 7 times in those contests. Detroit running back Jamaal Williams has been getting the bulk of the work and he would be a good value play against a Bears defense that ranks 26th in opponent rushing yards per attempt. Williams is also a threat to find the end zone, as he ranks third in the NFL with 8 rushing touchdowns in 8 games this year.
Amon-Ra St. Brown is Detroit’s number-one receiver, and he’s been targeted 19 times in the Lions’ past two games. He should continue to see a healthy target share this weekend as wide receiver Josh Reynolds is questionable with a back injury and tight end T.J. Hockenson was traded away to the Vikings.
Chicago Bears DFS Spin
Bears quarterback Justin Fields ran for a regular-season QB record 178 yards in Chicago’s 35-32 home loss to the Dolphins last weekend. He also threw for 123 yards and 3 touchdowns in last week’s game. Fields and the Bears’ offense has looked radically better since the Chicago coaching staff revamped their playcalling to focus on Fields’ athleticism. If you’re looking for a high-upside play at quarterback, Justin Fields would be a viable option.
If you’re looking to save on a defense you could deploy Chicago as a riskier option. The Lions are only averaging 16 points per game in their last three contests, and they’re 24th in the NFL in giveaways per game. What’s more, the Bears’ defense is 10th in the NFL in takeaways per game and 10th in opponent’s average passer rating. If the Bears are going to cover this game, their defense will likely have to shine.
Lions vs. Bears Betting Trends
Detroit is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games against the NFC North.
Detroit is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after gaining less than 150 passing yards in their previous game.
Chicago is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against the NFC North.
The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between Detroit and Chicago.
Lions vs. Bears Prediction:
These two clubs are more even than some may think. They have similar records: Detroit is 2-6 and Chicago is 3-6. Chicago and Detroit are ranked within 7 spots of each other in both average scoring margin and yards per point margin. Justin Fields may have run wild in the Bears’ last 3 games, but 2 of those contests were losses where the defense gave up 35+ points. I think there’s enough tape out on the Bears’ offense for teams to effectively scheme against it, and I think that’s what the Lions will do. I’ll fade the public and take the Lions and the points.
NFL WEEK 10 PREDICTION: DETROIT LIONS +3
