Lions vs. Cowboys Prediction & Odds
The Detroit Lions head to Arlington, TX to play the Cowboys on Sunday afternoon when Week 7’s NFL Sunday slate begins at 1:00 PM ET. Can the Lions pull off the upset and cover the spread as 6.5-point road underdogs?
The Detroit Lions are 1-4 through their first 5 games of 2022. They have a win over the Commanders. Their worst losses were to the Seahawks and Patriots. The Lions are 3-2 ATS this year.
The Dallas Cowboys are 4-2 so far this season. Their best wins were over the Giants and the Rams. Their only two defeats came against the Buccaneers and Eagles. The Cowboys are 4-2 ATS on the year.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
451 Detroit Lions +6.5 at 452 Dallas Cowboys -6.5; O/U 48.5
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, October 23, 2022
AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
Lions vs. Cowboys Public Betting Information
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that the public is favoring the Lions in this game. According to our numbers, 57% of public bets are on Detroit +6.5. Please note that this information is subject to change all the way up to kickoff, so make sure to check the link before you pick so you’re receiving the most accurate and up-to-date public betting data.
Detroit Lions DFS Spin
Lions running back D’Andre Swift is officially questionable for Sunday’s game against the Cowboys. He was limited at practice Thursday with shoulder and ankle injuries. If he can’t play, I’d recommend Lions running back Jamaal Williams. Williams has carried the ball at least 15 times in each of the past two games that Swift has missed. Jamaal Williams may have a nice day against a Cowboys defense that is only 17th in the league in opponent’s average yards per rushing attempt (4.4).
The Cowboys’ pass defense is elite as they’re only allowing 5.2 yards per pass attempt, the third-best mark in the league. For the Lions, wide receivers Josh Reynolds and D.J. Chark are both questionable for Sunday. That means Detroit tight end T.J. Hockenson might be in for another big day as he should see an increase in targets.
Dallas Cowboys DFS Spin
For the Cowboys, the big story is that they’re getting quarterback Dak Prescott back for this contest. Prescott missed the last five games with a fractured thumb. Prescott is a better passer than Cowboys backup Cooper Rush. Because of that, I’d consider the Cowboys’ top two wide receivers CeeDee Lamb and Noah Brown. Both players have at least 20 catches and at least one receiving touchdown on the campaign.
For running backs, I’d consider using both Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard as the Lions’ run defense is allowing 5.5 yards per rush attempt. That figure ranks 30th out of 32 NFL teams.
Lions vs. Cowboys Betting Trends
Detroit is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss.
Detroit is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring fewer than 15 points in their previous game.
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in 5 games against teams with a winning record.
The road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings between Detroit and Dallas.
Lions vs. Cowboys Prediction:
Dallas might be getting Dak Prescott back, but let’s not forget that he was terrible in the Cowboys’ Week 1 loss to the Buccaneers, posting a QBR of 18.8 as the Cowboys got trounced 19-3. Cooper Rush went 4-1 in Prescott’s stead, and I’m not sure how Dallas will respond to a quarterback change when they were consistently winning with the other guy. I think people are off the Lions after they got shut out against New England two weeks ago, but coming off of a bye I think they keep it close or win. I’ll take Detroit and the points.
NFL WEEK 7 PREDICTION: DETROIT LIONS +6.5
