Falcons vs. Saints MNF Free Pick
NEW ORLEANS, LA (The Spread) – The Saints can wrap up first place in the NFC South tonight on Monday Night Football but in order to do so, they must beat their biggest rivals.
NFL Odds: Oddsmakers have installed the Saints as 6.5-point favorites over the Falcons for tonight’s game, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 53 points. Atlanta enters the day with a 9-5 overall record and is 4-3 on the road, while New Orleans is 11-3 overall and 6-0 at home.
Line Movement: The Saints opened as 7.5-point favorites but the majority of sports books both offshore and in Las Vegas have dropped New Orleans to –6.5. The over/under total has stayed steady at 53 after opening at that same number, although some books have the line listed at 53.5.
Public Betting: Of the 55,000-plus wagers on today’s game, 67% of NFL public bettors currently favor the Saints. This information is subject to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date NFL public betting numbers.
NFL Week 16 Free Pick: Take Atlanta. The Saints have been unbeatable at home this season (literally and figuratively) but there’s a different feel to the Falcons the past two weeks. While their wins over Carolina and Jacksonville were hardly anything to brag about given the poor records of those two teams, Atlanta has put together six straight quarters of perfect football. The Falcons’ no-huddle attack has taken shape and they’re finally starting to find some consistency on offense. Their defense has also been the strength of the team for much of the year and while Drew Brees may carve up the Atlanta secondary at times tonight, look for Matt Ryan and Co. to keep this game close. According to latest NFL trends, the Falcons are 11-5 against the spread in their last 16 road games against the Saints while the underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings between these two teams.
2011 NFL WEEK 16 FREE PICK: ATLANTA FALCONS +6.5
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