Falcons vs. Panthers Free Pick
CHARLOTTE, NC (theSpread) – The Atlanta Falcons are closing in on a playoff berth but they can’t afford to overlook their NFC South Division rivals, the Carolina Panthers. Continue reading for picks, odds and more on this NFL Week 14 matchup.
According to NFL Week 14 odds and oddsmakers from online sports book SBGGLOBAL.com, the Falcons are 7.5-point favorites over the Panthers on Sunday. The over/under total for this game is currently 42.5 points.
The Falcons enter Sunday’s game with a 10-2 overall record and are now 8-4 against the spread according to latest NFL trends. They’re 4-2 on the road this season and covered in four of those six games.
The Panthers, meanwhile, dropped to 1-11 on the year after losing to the Seahawks last Sunday. They’re 3-9 against the number and have failed to cover in five of their six home games this season.
NFL Week 14 Free Pick:
The hook off the all-important number of 7 has us a little concerned, but this is the most lopsided matchup on the Week 14 schedule. The Falcons can keep drives alive, the Panthers cannot. The Falcons create turnovers; the Panthers can’t protect the ball. The Falcons are scoring 58.14% of the time they reach the red zone, the Panthers are scoring just 30.43% of the time when they get inside their opponents’ 20. While upsets happen every week in the NFL, we don’t think that this will be one of them. The Panthers will try to feed the Falcons a steady diet of Jonathan Stewart, but Atlanta’s defense has been stout against the run all year. On the other side, Matt Ryan should shake off the two-interception game he had last week against the Bucs and take advantage of a soft Carolina defense. Once the Falcons build a lead, they can also rely on Michael Turner to wear down the Panthers’ front seven. Carolina is 1-5 ATS in its lat six home games and 1-5 ATS in its last six games overall. They’re also 0-4 ATS in their last four games against the NFC and 1-5 ATS in their last six games as an underdog. Atlanta, on the other hand, is 4-0 ATS in its last four games as a favorite, 4-0 ATS in its lat four games in December and 4-0 ATS in its last four games overall. Barring a backdoor cover, we think the Falcons cover easily and they’re our pick at –7.5.
2010 NFL WEEK 14 FREE PICK: ATLANTA FALCONS –7.5
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