Jets vs. Broncos Week 11 Free Pick
DENVER, CO (The Spread) – Two teams trying to keep pace in their respective divisions will battle tonight when the Broncos host the Jets at 8:20PM ET.
NFL Odds: Oddsmakers have installed the Jets as a 6-point favorite over the Broncos, while the over/under total for this game is currently sitting at 40 points. New York comes into this week with a 5-4 record overall and is 1-3 on the road, while Denver is 4-5 overall and 1-3 at home.
Line Movement: The line in this game has danced all week. The Jets opened as a 4.5-point favorite at the Las Vegas Hilton but the line immediately shot up to 5.5. Then it was down to 4.5 and even 4 at some books before steadily climbing to 6.5. Now the Jets sit at –6 while the over/under total has gone from 40.5 to 41.5 and back down to 40.
Public Betting: Of the 26,000-plus wagers on today’s game, 81% of NFL public bettors currently favor the Jets. This information is subject to change leading up to kickoff, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date NFL public betting numbers.
NFL Week 11 Free Pick: Take New York. Rex Ryan isn’t going to allow Tim Tebow to win another game in which he only completes two passes, which was the case last week for Tebow in Kansas City. The Jets’ defense should be nice and ticked off after allowing the patriots to rack up 36 points on them at home last Sunday night. Look for the Broncos to be grounded all night, although the wild card in this situation is Mark Sanchez and the New York offense. If Sanchez gets to turning the ball over and making boneheaded mistakes like he’s accustomed to doing throughout the regular season, Denver’s defense could keep this close. That said, look for Ryan to take the ball out of Sanchez’s hands and lean on his running game and defense to get the job done. According to latest NFL trends, the Broncos are 1-4-1 against the spread versus a team with a winning record while the Jets are 4-1 ATS versus a team with a losing record.
2011 NFL WEEK 11 FREE PICK: NEW YORK JETS –6
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