Dolphins vs. Patriots Total Pick
Will the Miami Dolphins and New England Patriots light up the scoreboard on Sunday when the AFC East rivals meet at 1:00 p.m. ET in Foxborough?
Game Info
Matchup: Dolphins (4-6) at Patriots (8-2)
TV: CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET
Line: Patriots -16.5
ODDS: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the over/under currently sits at 47.5 points after hitting the board at the same number. The Patriots, meanwhile, are 16.5-point home favorites versus the Dolphins, who opened as a 16-point underdog.
PUBLIC BETTING: As of this writing, the Patriots are receiving 54% of the tickets despite laying nearly two touchdowns and a field goal at the betting window.
KEY TRENDS: The Dolphins are winless at 0-5 against the spread in their last five games in New England and are 1-4 against the number in their last five games versus the Patriots overall. The home team has also covered in nine of the last 10 meetings between these two teams while the favorite is 4-1 at the betting window in the last five meetings.
OUR PREDICTION: The over is 5-0 in the Dolphins’ last five games because they don’t have a defense. The over is also 7-1 in Miami’s last eight divisional games, is 4-0 in its last four games in November, and is 10-4 in its last 14 conference games.
Meanwhile, New England’s defense is playing very well, especially compared to the start of the season. That said, the Patriots are still lighting up the scoreboard. The over is 5-2 in the Patriots’ last seven home games, is 22-7 in their last 29 home games versus an opponent with a losing road record, and is 7-2 in their last nine games coming off a win of more than 14 points.
NFL WEEK 12 OVER/UNDER PREDICTION: DOLPHINS/PATRIOTS OVER 47.5