NFL Predictions: Will the over cash when Rams host Saints? 11/24/17

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Saints vs. Rams Total Pick

Will the over cash for bettors on Sunday when the Los Angeles Rams host the New Orleans Saints in a pivotal conference matchup at 4:25 p.m. ET?

Game Info

Matchup: Saints (8-2) at Rams (7-3)

TV: FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET

Line: Rams -2.5

ODDS: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the over/under currently sits at 53.5 points after hitting the board at that same number earlier this week. As for the point spread, the Rams opened as a 2.5-point home favorite and that’s where the line currently sits.

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PUBLIC BETTING: As of this writing, the Saints are receiving just over 50% of the tickets at the betting window.

KEY TRENDS: The home team has covered the spread in all five of the last five meetings between these two teams. The Saints, meanwhile, are just 2-5 at the betting window in their last seven games against the Rams. New Orleans is also winless at 0-4 against the spread in its last four road games versus Los Angeles.

OUR PREDICTION: The over has cashed in eight of the last 10 meetings between these two teams when the Rams host the game. In the last 11 meetings overall, the over cashed eight times.

The over is also 5-2 in the Saints’ last seven road games, is 7-3 in their last 10 conference games, and is 9-4 in their last 13 games overall. The over is also 9-4 in New Orleans’ last 13 games played in November and is 5-0 in its last five games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in its previous contest.

On the other side, the over is a perfect 6-0 in the Rams’ last six games coming off an ATS loss. It is also 7-1 in the Rams’ last eight games played in Week 12, is 5-0 in their last five games coming off a straight up loss, and is 7-2 in their last nine games played on grass.

 

NFL WEEK 12 OVER/UNDER PREDICTION: SAINTS/RAMS OVER 53.5