Trends like the Colts on the road
DENVER, CO (The Spread) – The Denver Broncos are giving up two scores to the Indianapolis Colts in today’s playoff game. Do the trends say this game will be closer than the spread indicates?
According to oddsmakers from Bovada.lv, the Broncos are the favorites at home, as they are getting odds of -7.5 points against the Colts. The over/under total for the game has been set at 53.5 points (View Matchup).
The matchup trends are very much behind the Colts in this one. Indianapolis has won six of its last seven meetings with the Broncos and covered the spread in seven straight meetings, including in this season’s opener at Denver, when the Colts lost 31-24 but covered an 8-point spread. These two have hit the over in eight of their last nine meetings. The irony behind these numbers is that Peyton Manning contributed to many of the wins/covers for the Colts.
The team trends also support the Colts in this one, as Denver is just 2-6-1 against the spread in its last 9 games in January and 1-4 ATS in its last 5 playoff games. The Colts are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games against a conference opponent and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games on grass. The over looks strong, as the Broncos have hit the over in 7 of their last 10 conference games and 5 of their last 7 playoff games.
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