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NFL Week 3 Picks & Preview: Texans vs. Patriots total set too low? 9/22/17

Texans vs. Patriots Total Pick

Is the betting total for Sunday’s Texans and Patriots matchup set too low by oddsmakers?

Game Info

Who: Texans (1-1) at Patriots (1-1)

When: 1:00PM ET, Sunday, September 24

Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA

The Odds

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Patriots are 14-point home favorites to beat the Texans, who opened as 11-point underdogs. As for the total, the number hit the board at 44 and that’s where it currently sits.

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HOUSTON TEXANS BETTNIG TRENDS

The Texans are 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 road games, are 2-5 at the betting window in their last seven games versus AFC opponents, and are 3-8 at the betting window in their last 11 games overall. Houston is also 1-6-1 against the spread in its last eight games against the Patriots and winless at 0-5 against the number in its last five games in New England.

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS BETTING TRENDS

The Patriots are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games versus AFC opponents, are 26-10-2 against the number in their last 38 home games, and are 33-16-2 at the betting window in their last 51 games overall. They’re also 21-8-2 against the spread in their last 31 games following a straight up win.

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OUR PREDICTION: The over is 4-1 in the last five meetings between these two teams in New England and 7-2 in the last nine meetings overall. The over is also a perfect 5-0 in the Texans’ last five games following an ATS win and 6-0 in the Patriots’ last six games overall. The over has also cashed in four straight games when New England is coming off a win.

 

NFL WEEK 3 PICK: TEXANS/PATRIOTS OVER 44

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