NFL Week 4 Predictions: Bucs a good bet to beat Giants? 10/1/17

Bucs at Giants Prediction

Are the Bucs a good bet to beat the Giants and cover the low number today at 4:05PM ET?

Game Info

Who: Giants (0-3) at Bucs (1-1)

When: 4:05PM ET, Sunday, October 1

Where: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL

The Odds

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Bucs are 3-point home favorites versus the Giants, who opened as 4.5-point underdogs. As for the total, the number hit the board at 44 but has been bet up to 45.

Bet NFL Week 4 Games

New York Giants Betting Trends

The Giants are 4-1-1 against the spread in their last six games following a loss, are 8-2-1 against the number in their last 11 games in Week 4, and are 33-16-3 against the spread in their last 52 games played in October. That said, they have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games coming off a successful cover.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Trends

The Buccaneers are 6-2 against the spread in their last eight games when facing a team with a losing record, are 7-3 against the number in their last 10 games overall, and are 6-1 at the betting window in their last seven games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. That said, they’re just 22-45-1 against the spread in their last 68 home games.

OUR PREDICTION: The Bucs played an ugly game in Minnesota last week but they should have an easier time moving the ball against the Giants this afternoon. Granted, New York’s pass defense has been solid this season, but teams aren’t attacking the Giants through the air. They don’t need to. The G-Men rank dead last in rushing yards allowed this season and if the Bucs can get their running game going, Jameis Winston won’t feel the need to force as many passes as he did a week ago playing from behind. I think Dirk Koetter will reign in his offense a little today, play more conservatively by keeping the ball on the ground, and then protect a lead in the second half. In other words, I expect the Giants to make all the mistakes today.

NFL WEEK 4 PREDICTIONS: TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS -3