Falcons vs. Patriots Total Pick
The Falcons and Patriots will play in a rematch of last year’s Super Bowl when the two teams meet at 8:30PM ET on Sunday night. Will the over hit for bettors?
Game Info
Who: Falcons (3-2) at Patriots (4-2)
When: 8:30PM ET, Sunday, October 22
Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts
Betting Odds
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the over/under currently sits at 56.5 points after opening at 53.5. As for the point spread, the Patriots opened as a 3.5-point home favorite versus the Falcons but the line has dropped to 3 at the majority of online sports books.
Public Betting Information
The Falcons are coming off back-to-back losses to AFC East opponents not named the Patriots and public bettors are fading Atlanta, although not by a wide margin. Only 51% of public bettors are laying the points with the Patriots on Sunday night.
Key Betting Trends
The road team is 5-1 against the spread in the last six meetings between these two teams but the Falcons are winless at the betting window at 0-5 in their last five games against the Patriots. Atlanta is 9-2 against the spread in its last 11 road games while New England is 12-3-2 against the spread in its last 17 home games versus a team with a winning road record.
Our Prediction
The over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings between these two teams and is 49-23 in the Patriots’ last 72 home games. The over is also 8-2 in the Patriots’ last 10 games overall, is 6-1 in their last seven games coming off a win, and is 64-29 in their last 93 games played on fieldturf. On the other side the over is 18-7-1 in the Falcons’ last 26 games overall, is 8-1 in their last nine games versus a team with a winning record, and has cashed in 14 of their last 16 games played on fieldturf.
NFL WEEK 7 PREDICTIONS: FALCONS/PATRIOTS OVER 56.5