NFL Week 7 Predictions: Will Saints vs. Packers turn into shootout? 10/20/17

Saints vs. Packers Total Prediction

Even though Aaron Rodgers is out for the Packers, will Green Bay’s matchup with the Saints on Sunday turn into a shootout?

Game Info

Who: Saints (3-2) at Packers (4-2)

When: 1:00PM ET, Sunday, October 22

Where: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI

Betting Odds

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Packers are 4-point underdogs versus the Saints after hitting the board at +4.5. As for the total, the number opened at 47.5 and that’s where it currently sits at the majority of online sports books.

Public Betting Information

Rodgers’ injury will likely turn the Packers from a major public team to one the public consistently fades. As of this writing, 60% of public bettors are backing the Saints and laying the points on the road team.

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Key Betting Trends

The favorite has covered the spread in five of the last six meetings between these two teams, but the home squad is 5-2 against the number in the last seven meetings. The Saints, meanwhile, are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games against the Packers, are 11-2 against the number in their last 13 road games, and are 5-1 at the betting window in their last six conference games.

Our Prediction

The over is a perfect 8-0 in the last eight meetings between these two teams and is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Green Bay. The over is also 7-1 in the Saints’ last eight games, is 6-0 in their last six conference matchups, and is 4-1 in their last five road games when facing a team with a winning home record. On the other side, the over is 11-2 in the Packers’ last 13 games overall, is 10-2 in their last 12 conference games, and is 7-1 in their last eight games played on grass. Even with Brett Hundley filling in for Rodgers, I still see this game being high-scoring.

 

NFL WEEK 7 PREDICTIONS: SAINTS/PACKERS OVER 47.5

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