Packers vs. Lions Prediction & Odds
The Green Bay Packers travel to Detroit to take on the Lions on Sunday afternoon when Week 9’s NFL early slate begins at 1:00 PM ET. Can the Packers win and cover the spread as 3.5-point road favorites?
The Green Bay Packers are 3-5 through their first 8 games of 2022. Their best wins were over the Buccaneers and the Patriots. Their worst losses came against the Jets and the Commanders. The Packers are 3-5 ATS this year.
The Detroit Lions are 1-6 so far this season. Their only win came over the Commanders. Their worst losses came against the Seahawks and the Patriots. The Lions are 3-4 ATS on the year.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
459 Green Bay Packers -3.5 at 460 Detroit Lions +3.5; O/U 49.5
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 6, 2022
Ford Field, Detroit, MI
Packers vs. Lions Public Betting Information
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that the public favors the Lions in this game. According to our numbers, 54% of public bets are on Detroit +3.5. Please note that this information is subject to change all the way up to kickoff, so make sure to check the link before you pick so you’re receiving the most accurate and up-to-date public betting data.
Green Bay Packers DFS Spin
The Packers made a concerted effort to give the ball to running back Aaron Jones last week against Buffalo, and it paid off. The Packers didn’t win the game but did cover the spread as they fell 27-17. Jones had a great game as he ran for 143 yards on 20 carries. He’s averaging 5.9 yards per carry on the year, and he’s a must-start in any DFS lineup due to Detroit’s porous run defense. The Lions are 28th in the NFL in average yards allowed per rushing attempt.
The Packers have two wide receivers that are questionable for this weekend’s game: Allen Lazard and Christian Watson. Lazard was limited in practice on Wednesday with a shoulder injury while Watson returned to practice Thursday after a concussion knocked him out of last week’s game. If you need to play a Packers wide receiver I’d consider rookie Romeo Doubs who leads the Packers in targets and ranks second on the team in catches, receiving yards, and receiving touchdowns.
Detroit Lions DFS Spin
The Lions traded tight end T.J. Hockenson to the Minnesota Vikings, so that should free up some more targets for wide receivers like Amon-Ra St. Brown and Kalif Raymond. Jared Goff might not be a bad value play at quarterback as Detroit may be trailing in this game and be forced to throw the ball.
Conversely, former Packers running back Jamaal Williams might have some value for the Lions on Sunday. Detroit starting running back D’Andre Swift did play last week, and he had 10 touches for 33 yards and a touchdown. However, Williams got most of the carries in the Lions’ game against the Dolphins last week, and he may run with some extra oomph against a Packers team that let him walk in free agency.
Packers vs. Lions Betting Trends
Green Bay is 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games following an outright loss.
Green Bay is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after gaining over 150 rushing yards in their previous game.
Detroit is 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing over 250 passing yards in their previous game.
The over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings between Green Bay and Detroit.
Packers vs. Lions Prediction:
As bad as the Packers’ offense has looked this season, they showed some signs of life against an elite Buffalo team last weekend, outgaining the Bills in total yards 398-369. I know there are no moral victories in the NFL, but Green Bay could have gotten blown out last weekend and didn’t.
The second angle in this game is Aaron Rodgers’ pure dominance over the Detroit Lions. In his career, Aaron Rodgers is 18-6 against Detroit, with one of those losses coming in Week 18 of last year when he only played in the first half. This is a get-right game for Green Bay, and if they lose this, the wheels would be officially off the bus. I think they win by more than a field goal and stay in the mix in the NFC.
NFL WEEK 9 PREDICTION: GREEN BAY PACKERS -3.5
