Patriots vs. Bills Prediction
The Patriots will clinch a playoff berth with a win over the Bills on Sunday or with a loss by the Dolphins and Steelers. That said, will New England even cover as a 7.5-point road underdog in Buffalo today at 1:00 p.m. ET?
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
477 New England Patriots (+7.5) at 478 Buffalo Bills (-7.5); o/u 43.5
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, January 8, 2023
Patriots vs. Bills Public Betting Information
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that 54% of public bettors are currently backing the Bills when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.
New England Patriots DFS Spin
Mac Jones completed 20-of-33 attempts for 203 yards and two touchdowns in the Patriots’ 23-21 Week 17 win against the Dolphins. With the Patriots’ usual dump offs and poorly-designed screen passes, Jones averaged a meager 6.1 yards per attempt against a Dolphins secondary that ranks as one of the worst in the NFL. His touchdowns were to rookie Tyquan Thornton and Jakobi Meyers on a nicely-placed lob inside the ten yard line. Jones was typically terrible under pressure — he took three sacks on the day — and his rare throws down the field or to the boundary fluttered like Peyton Manning’s in his final NFL season. Jones won’t be a fantasy option in Week 18 against Buffalo.
Buffalo Bills DFS Spin
Josh Allen (ankle/right elbow) is not on Buffalo’s final Week 18 injury report against the Patriots. The ankle designation was new on Thursday, but there was never much reason to be concerned about it and Buffalo beat writers didn’t even ask him about it in his presser yesterday. Allen will be a top-three QB play in Week 18 against the Patriots despite their stellar defense.
Patriots vs. Bills Betting Trends
Under is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 vs. AFC East
Under is 5-2 in Patriots last 7 vs. AFC
Under is 4-1 in Bills last 5 vs. AFC East
Under is 9-4 in Bills last 13 games overall
Patriots vs. Bills Prediction:
The road team in this series is 20-7-2 at the betting window in the last 29 meetings between these two teams, while the Patriots have covered in 16 of their last 21 trips to Buffalo. The Pats are also 24-5 against the number in their last 29 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game and are 39-19-2 against the spread in their last 60 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous contest. On the other side, the Bills are just 1-4 against the spread in their last five divisional games and are 1-4 against the number in their last five home games.
NFL WEEK 18 PREDICTION: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS +7.5
