Patriots vs. Bills Prediction: Will the Over Cash?

Bills vs. Rams Bills vs. Rams

The New England Patriots head to Buffalo to take on the Bills in an AFC East bout on Sunday evening. New England has lost 4 straight games and sits with a 3-11 record. Buffalo bounced back with a win last week and enter Sunday with an 11-3 record. They are currently 14 point home favorites with this Patriots vs. Bills matchup set to kick off at 4:25 p.m. ET.

Game Matchup & Betting Odds

New England Patriots (+14) at Buffalo Bills (-14) o/u 46.5

4:25 p.m. ET, Sunday, December 22, 2024

Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY

TV: CBS

Public Betting: Public Bettors All Over Bills

As of this writing, our NFL Public Betting page shows that 84% of bets are on Buffalo. That said, this page is updated frequently so make sure that you click on the link provided so that you’re getting the most updated information.

New England Patriots

The Patriots have lost 4 straight games with the latest being a 30-17 loss to Arizona. Drake Maye completed 19 of 23 pass attempts for 202 yards. He also had a touchdown and an interception. Rhamondre Stevenson rushed 13 times for 69 yards. The defense allowed 5.1 yards per carry and couldn’t force a turnover or get a sack.

Buffalo Bills

The Bills have won 8 of their last 9 games, with the latest being a 48-42 victory over the Lions. Josh Allen completed 23 of 34 pass attempts for 362 yards and two touchdowns. He also rushed for 68 yards and two touchdowns. James Cook rushed for 105 yards and two touchdowns. The defense allowed 494 pass yards but had 3 sacks.

New England is 1-3 ATS in their last 4 games

The OVER is 4-0 in New England’s last 4 games

Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games

The OVER is 5-0-1 in Buffalo’s last 6 games

Patriots vs. Bills Prediction:

Take the over 46.5 points in this matchup. The Bills are an offensive juggernaut, averaging 31.8 points per game and 35 on their home field. They have scored 48 and 42 points in their last two games and 30+ in all of their last 8 games. Josh Allen has been insane this season and in the last 3 games, he has 7 passing touchdowns, 6 rushing touchdowns, 1 receiving touchdown, and 0 interceptions. The Patriots defense is giving up 24 points per game and has allowed 25+ in their last 4 games. The New England offense should be able to contribute a little bit as they have scored 17+ points in 5 of their last 7 games. Although it was against some high powered offenses, the Bills defense has given up 44 and 42 points in their last 2 games. The Patriots are 4-0 to the over in their last 4 games and the Bills are 5-0-1 to the over in their last 6 games. On top of that the over has hit in 5 of the last 6 games between these two squads and 4 of the last 5 games at Buffalo.

Patriots vs. Bills Prediction: Over 46.5

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