Patriots vs. Dolphins Prediction & Odds
AFC North rivals clash in South Beach for Week 1 of the NFL season on Sunday when the Dolphins host the Patriots at 1:00 p.m. ET.
With the Dolphins laying 3.5 points as a home favorite and the total sitting at 45.5, what’s the best play when it comes to this matchup?
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
457 New England Patriots (+3.5) at 458 Miami Dolphins (-3.5); o/u 45.5
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, September 11, 2022
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, FL
Patriots vs. Dolphins Public Betting Information
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that 62% of public bettors are currently backing the 49ers when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.
New England Patriots DFS Spin
Patriots RT Isaiah Wynn (back) said he will play in Week 1 against the Dolphins. Wynn opened the week with consecutive limited practice sessions. His health was a concern heading into Week 1 after he missed multiple weeks in training camp. Getting Wynn healthy is an early victory for the Patriots. Pro Football Focus graded him as a top-20 run-blocking tackle last year. Expect New England’s offense to lean into their strong ground game in their opener versus the Dolphins.
Miami Dolphins DFS Spin
Jaylen Waddle (quad) was removed from the Week 1 injury report and will play against the Patriots. Waddle got in a pair of full practices to close out the week after being limited Wednesday. He appears to be over the quad issue the kept him sidelined for the better part of training camp and the preseason. Waddle will be a WR2 play against New England.
Patriots vs. Dolphins Betting Trends
Over is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 games overall
Under is 9-4 in Patriots last 13 road games
Under is 7-3 in Dolphins last 10 games overall
Patriots vs. Dolphins Prediction:
While the underdog has hit in four of the last five meetings between these two teams, the home team has cashed in 16 of the previous 21 Miami-New England matchups. The Patriots are also just 1-4 against the spread in their last five games against the Dolphins and are just 2-8 at the betting window in their last 10 trips to South Beach. The Dolphins, meanwhile, have covered in five of their last six home games and are 7-2-1 against the spread in their last 10 games overall.
NFL WEEK 1 PREDICTION: MIAMI DOLPHINS -3.5