Raiders vs. Chiefs Total Prediction
With the number sitting at 51.5 points, is the total set too high for Monday night’s AFC West clash between the Raiders and Chiefs at 8:15 p.m. ET?
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
479 Las Vegas Raiders (+7.5) at 480 Kansas City Chiefs (-7.5); o/u 51.5
8:15 p.m. ET, Monday, October 10, 2022
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Raiders vs. Chiefs Public Betting Information
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that 78% of public bettors are currently backing the Chiefs when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.
Las Vegas Raiders DFS Spin
Derek Carr completed 21-of-34 passes for 188 scoreless yards in the Raiders’ 32-23, Week 4 win over the Broncos. He absorbed two sacks and rushed seven times for 40 yards with his legs, picking up some big chain-movers along the way. Carr still averaged a pitiful 5.5 YPA with his arm, funneling targets to Davante Adams at a 38% clip. Adams accounted for 101 of Carr’s 188 passing yards. Carr is a big volume passer but doesn’t do enough on the stat sheet to be much more than a low-end QB1 on his best days in fantasy. He gets a Week 5 date with the Chiefs in Kansas City next Monday night.
Kansas City Chiefs DFS Spin
Patrick Mahomes completed 23-of-37 passes for 249 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception in the Chiefs 41-31, Week 4 win over the Buccaneers. In his bag in this one, Mahomes threaded a number of off-platform passes, none more so ridiculous as his spin move past a Bucs tackler in the second quarter that ended with him lobbing a touchdown throw to Clyde Edwards-Helaire. Kansas City scored on eight of their first 10 drives, failing only a fourth-and-1 lob to Edwards-Helaire that he should have caught and not attempting to score at halftime. The Chiefs draw a MNF showdown against the Raiders in Week 5 and Mahomes will, as usual, be on the QB1 line.
Raiders vs. Chiefs Betting Trends
Raiders are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Kansas City
Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings
Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings
Home team is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings
Raiders vs. Chiefs Total Prediction:
The over is a perfect 4-0 in the last four meetings between these two teams and while the under has hit in 11 of the previous 14 meetings at Arrowhead, there’s too much firepower on both sides for the score to stay under the total. In fact, the over is 8-3 in the Raiders’ last 11 divisional games, is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games played in October and has hit in nine of the Chiefs’ last 12 games dating back to last season. The over is 7-3 in Kansas City’s last 10 games coming off a win, as well.
NFL MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL TOTAL PREDICTION: RAIDERS/CHIEFS OVER 51.5