The Baltimore Ravens head to Cleveland to take on the Browns on Sunday afternoon when Week 4’s afternoon slate begins at 1:00 PM ET on CBS. Can the Ravens cover the 2-point spread as road underdogs? Our Ravens vs. Browns betting prediction will give you the answer, read on!
The Baltimore Ravens are 2-1 straight up through their first 3 games of 2023. The Ravens are 2-1 ATS this season.
The Cleveland Browns are 2-1 straight up on the year. The Browns are 2-1 ATS this season.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
259 Baltimore Ravens (+2) at 260 Cleveland Browns (-2); O/U 39
1:00 PM ET, Sunday, October 1, 2023
Cleveland Browns Stadium, Cleveland, OH
Ravens vs. Browns Public Betting Information
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that the public favors the Browns in this game. According to our numbers, 51% of public bets are on Cleveland -2. Please note that this information is subject to change all the way up to kickoff, so be sure to check the link before you pick so you’re receiving the most accurate and up-to-date public betting data.
Baltimore Ravens DFS Spin
Baltimore will be without several key players on both sides of the ball on Sunday. On offense, wide receivers Odell Beckham Jr. and Rashod Bateman have both been ruled out with lower body injuries. On the offensive line, Ravens center Tyler Linderbaum is questionable with an ankle injury, and left tackle Ronnie Stanley is doubtful with a knee injury.
On defense, Baltimore won’t have cornerback Marlon Humphrey (foot), linebacker David Ojabo (ankle, knee), or linebacker Odafe Oweh (ankle). Furthermore, Baltimore safeties Marcus Williams and Kyle Hamilton are both nursing upper body injuries and are questionable to play on Sunday afternoon. It may be worth monitoring Baltimore’s injury updates all the way up to game time to see who ultimately plays and who doesn’t in this critical division showdown.
Cleveland Browns DFS Spin
The Browns’ injury situation is a bit simpler and revolves around the health of starting quarterback Deshaun Watson. Watson suffered a right shoulder injury in his team’s last contest against Tennessee, and he’s questionable to play this weekend. Watson is 22nd in the NFL with a total QBR of 46.0 this year. His backup would likely be rookie fifth-round pick Dorian Thompson-Robinson. Browns head coach Kevin Stefanski said that Deshaun Watson practiced with the ones this week, did some light throwing on Friday and he’s “hopeful” that Watson will play on Sunday.
Browns star running back Nick Chubb was officially ruled out for the season with a severe knee injury this week. Cleveland signed running back Kareem Hunt to provide depth behind newly minted starting running back Jerome Ford.
Ravens vs. Browns Betting Trends
Cleveland is 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games.
The under is 8-2 in Cleveland’s last 10 games.
The under is 7-3 in Baltimore’s last 10 games.
Baltimore is 7-8-1 ATS in their last 16 games against the AFC.
Ravens vs. Browns Prediction:
These are the two best defenses in the NFL when it comes to yards per play, making the under on the total of 39 worth considering. The Browns are only allowing 3.2 yards per play this year, which is the best figure by a defense through 3 games since 2000. The Ravens’ defense is second in the NFL in opponent yards per play at 4.1. But Cleveland’s defense is superior to Baltimore’s and the Browns might have the best defense in the league.
Cleveland is only allowing teams to convert 19.5% of their third-down tries, which is the best mark in the NFL. The Browns have only allowed teams to have 2 red zone attempts across 3 games this year and they allowed 0 touchdowns and 1 field goal in those two attempts. Finally, Cleveland leads the league in opponent punts per offensive score at 3.4, while the next-best team (Kansas City) checks in at 1.9. I don’t see how Baltimore wins this game with all of their injuries and how historically great Cleveland’s defense is. I’m on the Browns at home on Sunday.
