The Baltimore Ravens head to Pittsburgh to take on the Steelers on Sunday when Week 5’s afternoon slate begins at 1:00 PM ET on CBS. Can the Steelers cover the 4.5-point spread as home underdogs? Read our Ravens vs. Steelers betting prediction to get today’s winner!
The Baltimore Ravens are 3-1 straight up and 3-1 against the spread this year. Their best win came against the Browns, and their lone loss came against the Colts.
The Pittsburgh Steelers are 2-2 straight up on the year and 2-2 against the spread. Their best win came against the Browns, and their worst loss came against the Texans.
Ravens vs. Steelers Game Matchup & Betting Odds
463 Baltimore Ravens (-4.5) vs. 464 Pittsburgh Steelers (+4.5); O/U 38
1:00 PM ET, Sunday, October 8, 2023
Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA
Ravens vs. Steelers Public Betting Prediction
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that the public favors the Steelers in this game. According to our numbers, 68% of public bets are on Pittsburgh +4.5. Please note that this information is subject to change all the way up to kickoff, so be sure to check the link before you pick so you’re receiving the most accurate and up-to-date public betting data.
Baltimore Ravens DFS Spin
Baltimore wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. missed the team’s previous two games with an ankle injury, but he’s probable for this weekend’s game against Pittsburgh. Beckham has 5 catches for 66 yards in 2 games of action for the Ravens this year.
Baltimore starting right tackle Morgan Moses is doubtful for this weekend’s game with a shoulder injury. In his stead, Baltimore will likely start 2022 fourth-round draft pick Daniel Faalele.
Ravens backup defensive back Daryl Worley will miss Sunday’s game with a shoulder injury. Worley has 7 total tackles and a pass defended for the Ravens this season.
Pittsburgh Steelers DFS Spin
Steelers quarterback Kenny Pickett left last week’s game with a left knee injury, but he’s been removed from the injury report and is expected to play on Sunday. Pickett has completed 77 out of 127 passes for 803 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions this season.
Steelers tight end Pat Freiermuth will miss this weekend’s game with a hamstring injury. Freiermuth has 8 catches for 53 yards and 2 touchdowns this season.
Pittsburgh will be without two starting offensive linemen against Baltimore on Sunday. Steelers left tackle Dan Moore Jr. is out with a knee injury and right guard James Daniels is out with a groin injury.
Ravens vs. Steelers Betting Trends
Over the past 20 years, the underdog is 28-12-3 ATS in the Ravens vs. Steelers series.
In the regular season, when the spread is 3 points or more between the Ravens and Steelers, the underdog is 21-3-3 ATS since 2005.
Ravens QB Lamar Jackson is 0-3 ATS against the Steelers.
Steelers QB Kenny Pickett is 10-6 ATS in his career.
Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin is 11-2-2 ATS as an underdog against John Harbaugh.
Ravens vs. Steelers Betting Prediction:
These two teams consistently play each other closely. In fact, the margin of victory in the last 10 games between the Ravens and Steelers was 3, 2, 3, 1, 5, 4, 18, 3, 7, and 12 points. After getting blown out by the Texans last week, the Steelers also really need this game. Their desperation could lead to them playing better.
What’s more, the Steelers are 9-2-1 ATS as a home underdog since the beginning of the 2018 season. That’s the third-best mark in the NFL in that span. Pittsburgh head coach Mike Tomlin has never had a losing season as the head coach of the Steelers, a large part of that is bouncing back after losses. Mike Tomlin is 21-10 ATS as an underdog after a straight-up loss in his team’s previous game. I believe Tomlin’s team is being undervalued because they laid an egg against Houston last weekend. I like the Steelers to bounce back and keep this one within 4 points against their division rivals on Sunday.
