Will Caleb Williams be forced to put the ball in the air plenty on Thursday night in Chicago? Read on for our Seahawks vs. Bears Same Game Parlay prediction.
Christmas Same Game Parlay Recaps
I put together a pair of same game parlays for the Christmas Day NFL games. My Chiefs-Steelers SGP consisted of Xavier Worthy going over 49.5 receiving yards, George Pickens to fall under 62.5 receiving yards and Pat Freiermuth to go over 28.5 receiving yards. Worthy finished with 79 receiving yards, Pickens only had 50 and Freiermuth led the Steelers with 60 yards receiving. Thus, that SGP hit.
As for the Ravens-Texans SGP, I had Lamar Jackson to go over 45.5 rushing yards, Joe Mixon to fall under 61.5 rushing yards and Nico Collins to go over 6.5 receptions. Jackson rushed for 87 yards on only four carries and Mixon was held to just 26 yards. That said, Collins finished with only three catches for 59 yards as Houston’s offensive line struggled to keep C.J. Stroud upright.
Seahawks vs. Bears Same Game Parlay: Jaxon Smith-Njigba over 72.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Smith-Njigba has had at least 74 yards receiving in seven straight games. Since Week 8, he’s averaged 8.9 targets, 7.0 catches and 96.3 yards per game. He’s had a monster second half of the season and there’s no reason to believe he’ll slow down tonight.
Smith-Njigba is playing 79% of his snaps from the slot and the Bears have allowed 9.0 yards per target and a 5.7% touchdown rate to slot receivers. Chicago also allowed over 10.0 yards per pass attempt in four of their past six games.
Seahawks vs. Bears Same Game Parlay: Caleb Williams over 215.5 Passing Yards (-110)
I think Williams will top this total by necessity. The Bears’ running game has been non-existent and the Seahawks have been solid defending the run since their Week 10 bye. Since that point, Seattle is allowing 4.1 yards per carry to running backs, with a 67.5% success rate against those runs. D’Andre Swift will be bottled up tonight and once he is, the Bears will have no choice but to have Williams try to bail them out through the air.
Williams has fallen under his passing total in two of his last three games. That said, he threw for 334 yards last Sunday against the banged-up Lions and has gone over his passing total in four out of his last six games. He’s also gone over his passing total in three consecutive home games.
Seahawks vs. Bears Same Game Parlay: Keenan Allen over 59.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
This prop goes hand-in-hand with the Williams’ passing prop above, which is why we’re not getting eye-popping odds with this SGP. Nonetheless, Allen racked up 141 receiving yards last Sunday in Detroit. He’s gone over in six out of his last seven games. The only time he didn’t top 60 yards receiving was on December 8 in San Francisco when he finished with only 30 yards. The entire Chicago offense struggled mightily that day.
Considering the game script tonight, I see plenty of passing volume for the Bears. As long as the Seahawks don’t completely dominant time of possession, we should be good with the amount of yards we need from both Allen and Williams.
NFL Same Game Parlay Odds: +379 (Fanduel Sportsbook)