Fresh off their first victory of the season, will the Texans upset the Steelers on Sunday? Or is Pittsburgh the better bet at 1:00 p.m. ET today? Check out odds, trends and our Steelers vs. Texans prediction ahead.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
261 Pittsburgh Steelers (-3) at 262 Houston Texans (+3); o/u 41.5
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, October 1, 2023
NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
TV: CBS
Steelers vs. Texans Public Betting Information
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that 63% of public bettors are currently backing the Steelers when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.
Pittsburgh Steelers DFS Spin
Jaylen Warren played 28-of-62 snaps in the Steelers’ Week 3 win over the Raiders. Warren’s 45.2 percent snap share in Sunday’s win marked his highest snap share of the season, as the former UDFA continues to slowly work into Najee Harris’ workload. As runners, both Warren and Harris have struggled through the first three weeks, but Warren has proven to be the better fantasy asset thanks to his receiving upside. In PPR leagues, Warren has outscored Harris in every game this season and has 12 receptions for 101 yards on the season. On a week-to-week basis, both backs are hard to trust for fantasy purposes, but Warren isn’t going away and will continue to be a thorn for those who rostered Harris.
Houston Texans DFS Spin
Laremy Tunsil (knee) will not play in Week 4 against the Steelers. Tunsil and backup left tackle Josh Jones (hand) have both been ruled out for Sunday’s game against the Steelers, creating a potential field day for T.J Watt and a defense that is tied for the league lead in sacks (13). Backup lineman Austin Deculus could be in line to start at left tackle, which sounds bad when you consider he has as many offensive snaps through two seasons as the guy writing this blurb.
Steelers vs. Texans Betting Trends
Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The Steelers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games on the road
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The Texans are 4-17-1 SU in their last 22 games
Steelers vs. Texans Prediction:
Take the over. I realize this game screams ‘under’ because of the offensive issues of the Steelers, coupled with the way Pittsburgh has played defensively. That said, the Texans are 6th in the NFL in passing yards per game and have averaged 22 points per game. They’re also allowing 24.3 PPG, which ranks 22nd in the league. The Steelers have struggled offensively, but their offense looked more balanced on Sunday night in Las Vegas. They need to capitalize more on their trips to the red zone, which could happen today in Houston.
Steelers vs. Texans NFL Prediction: OVER 41.5