Texans vs. Bears Prediction & Odds
The winless Texans head to Chicago to face the 1-1 Bears at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday. Can the Bears cover the small number as home favorites?
The Houston Texans are 0-1-1 on the season. They tied their opening game, a home clash with their division rival, the Colts, 20-20. They then narrowly lost a road game against an inept Broncos squad 16-9. The Texans will be shooting for their first win of the season in Chicago on Sunday afternoon.
The Chicago Bears are 1-1 with a rainy win over San Francisco in week 1 (19-10) and fell victim to a 27-10 drubbing at the hands of the Packers in week 2. The Bears will try to build some momentum before they hit the road against the Giants next week.
Game Matchup and Betting Odds
477 Houston Texans +2.5 at 478 Chicago Bears -2.5; O/U 39
1:00 PM ET Sunday, September 25th, 2022
Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
Texans vs. Bears Public Betting Information
The public is slightly favoring the Texans in this game. Our NFL Public Betting Page shows that 58% of public bets are on Houston +2.5. Do note that those numbers are subject to change and could be different once game time rolls around.
Houston Texans DFS Spin
Rookie Texans running back Dameon Pierce generated a lot of fantasy football buzz in the preseason. The fourth-round pick out of Florida has yet to break out this season as he’s only averaging 3.9 yards per carry. But he’d be a nice value play against a Bears run defense that just got gashed by Green Bay’s Aaron Jones (15 carries, 132 yards, and a touchdown) last weekend.
Houston wideouts Brandin Cooks and Nico Collins might be nice value plays as they both have multiple receptions of 20 yards or more this season. The Bears’ defense permitted multiple explosive pass plays of 20 yards or more last week against the Packers and that’s a trend that I could see continuing.
Chicago Bears DFS Spin
The Bears’ offense is anemic and Justin Fields is difficult to trust. Because of that, the only viable offensive player on Chicago for DFS purposes is running back David Montgomery. Montgomery looked very good last week as he ran for 122 yards on just 15 carries. He’ll be facing a Texans defense that allowed both Indy’s Jonathan Taylor and Denver’s Javonte Williams to average 5 yards per tote on 15+ carries.
If you absolutely need a deep sleeper, you could consider Chicago’s leading receiver, wideout Equanimeous St. Brown. Do note that Bears’ QB Justin Fields has only averaged 14 pass attempts per game through the first 2 contests of the season.
Houston Texans vs. Chicago Bears Betting Trends
Houston is 8-26-1 straight up in the regular season since the beginning of 2020.
Chicago is 15-20 straight up in the regular season since the beginning of 2020.
60% of the handle is on Houston +2.5.
Houston is 10-9 ATS dating back to the beginning of last year.
Chicago is 7-12 ATS dating back to the beginning of last season.
Houston is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
The under is 7-1 in Houston’s last 8 games following an ATS win.
Chicago is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after gaining fewer than 250 yards in their previous game.
Texans vs. Bears Betting Prediction
Everyone was down on the Houston Texans coming into the year, and they’ve covered their first two games of 2022. I think they’re better than people think and the lines are beginning to reflect that. Texans coach Lovie Smith is going up against the Bears, the team that fired him 10 years ago. It might be personal for him and his squad.
Chicago’s lone win on the year was in a monsoon against a 49ers team that could barely handle the snaps from center, let alone throw and complete a pass. When faced with a superior opponent like the Packers in better conditions, Chicago got beat soundly. I think they lose this game outright, making the Texans’ money line at +130 an attractive play. But I’ll take the points just to be safe.
NFL FOOTBALL WEEK 3 PREDICTION: HOUSTON TEXANS +2.5
