Texans vs. Colts Prediction
AFC South rivals will wrap up their season in Indy on Sunday when the Colts host the Texans at 1:00 p.m. ET. With nothing on line as far as the postseason is concerned, what’s the smart ATS play in this regular season finale?
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
463 Houston Texans (+2.5) at 464 Indianapolis Colts (-2.5); o/u 37.5
1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, January 8, 2023
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
Texans vs. Colts Public Betting Information
Our NFL Public Betting Information page indicates that 59% of public bettors are currently backing the Colts when it comes to the spread. This information is subject to change throughout the day, however, so be sure to check the link so you’re receiving the most up-to-date public betting data.
Houston Texans DFS Spin
NFL Network reports Texans coach Lovie Smith’s job status is “very much up in the air.” The Texans enter Week 18 “in the lead” for the No. 1 overall pick, but that was always going to be the case with this sub-expansion level roster. There is zero talent here. That, of course, doesn’t mean Smith is the right man for the job — he was a panic hire after the Texans ousted David Culley following his surprisingly effective 2021 — but it further demonstrates this organization has zero direction, and has become one of the league’s worst. Per Ian Rapoport, “sources say frustration has mounted in the locker room and elsewhere in the building over many aspects of Smith’s program.” You will always find takers for one of the world’s 32 head-coaching NFL jobs, but candidates will undoubtedly have pause if Smith is let go.
Indianapolis Colts DFS Spin
Colts interim head coach Jeff Saturday said Nick Foles will not start in Week 18 against the Texans. Saturday noted that Foles was “really sore” and in “a lot of pain” after Sunday’s loss to the Giants. Foles was knocked from the game with a rib injury after taking a hit from Kayvon Thibodeaux and later carted to the locker room after walking off under his own power. This concludes a 2022 season for Foles that saw him throw for 224 yards, no touchdowns and four interceptions in two games. Foles didn’t see any action until Week 16 against the Chargers and will be 34 at the start of next season. Having already flirted with retirement in the past, it wouldn’t be surprising if this is the last time we see Foles in an NFL uniform.
Texans vs. Colts Betting Trends
Under is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings
Under is 11-2 in the last 13 meetings in Indianapolis
Under is 6-2 in Texans last 8 games overall
Under is 11-4 in Texans last 15 road games
Texans vs. Colts Prediction:
The Texans have covered in five of their last seven divisional games and are 7-3-1 against the number in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous contest. On the other side, the Colts are just 2-5 against the spread in their last seven games versus a team with a losing record, are 1-4 against the number in their last five games overall and are 1-4 at the betting window in their last five conference games.
NFL WEEK 18 PREDICTION: HOUSTON TEXANS +2.5
