Patriots vs. 49ers Pick
Even if Rob Gronkowski doesn’t play, will the Patriots’ game with the 49ers on Sunday still be high-scoring for bettors?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Patriots are now 13-point road favorites versus the 49ers after opening as a 14-point favorite. As for the total, the number hit the board at 51.5 but has been bet down to 51 at the majority of online and Vegas sports books.
PATRIOTS KEY TRENDS: The Patriots are 4-0 against the spread in their last four road games and are 4-1 against the number in their last five games overall. They’re also 5-1 at the betting window in their last six games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game and have covered the spread in four of their last five games coming off an ATS loss.
49ERS KEY TRENDS: Despite covering last week as a double-digit road dog at Arizona, the Niners are still just 1-7 at the betting window in their last eight games overall. They’re also winless at 0-4 against the spread in their last four home games and are 1-8-1 against the number in their last 10 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous contest.
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OUR PREDICTION: Even without Gronk, the Patriots should still rack up enough points against a hapless San Francisco defense to help push the combined score over the total. The over is 5-2 in the Patriots’ last seven games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. The over is also a perfect 7-0 in the Niners’ last seven games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game and is 4-1 in their last five games overall. San Francisco ranks dead last in yards allowed per game (429.7), dead last in rushing yards allowed per game (180.4), and dead last in points allowed (31.4). No reason to bet the under.
NFL WEEK 12 PREDICTION: PATRIOTS/49ERS OVER 51