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Flames vs. Maple Leafs Prediction: Will game turn high-scoring?

Flames vs. Maple Leafs Flames vs. Maple Leafs

The Calgary Flames (30-24-11) will face the Toronto Maple Leafs (39-24-3) on Monday, March 17, 2025, at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. The game is set to begin at 7:30 PM Eastern Time and will be broadcast on ESPN+. What’s the smart bet in tonight’s Flames vs. Maple Leafs matchup?

Game Matchup & Betting Odds

Calgary Flames (+180) at Toronto Maple Leafs (-220); o/u 6

7:30 p.m. ET, Monday, March 17, 2025

Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

TV: ESPN+

Flames vs. Maple Leafs Public Betting:

As of this writing, our NHL Public Betting Page shows that 75% of bets are on the Maple Leafs moneyline. That said, this page is updated frequently so make sure that you click on the link provided to get the most up-to-date public betting information.

Team Performance and Recent Form

The Flames have struggled recently, losing six of their last eight games. They returned from a six-game road trip with a 2-4 record, securing wins against the Capitals and Flyers but falling to the Canucks and Avalanche upon returning home. Calgary currently sits fifth in the Pacific Division with 71 points, trailing the division-leading Golden Knights by 15 points.

Offensively, the Flames have averaged 2.55 goals per game this season, ranking them 32nd in the league. Defensively, they have allowed 2.89 goals per game, placing them 14th. Jonathan Huberdeau leads the team with 49 points (25 goals, 24 assists), while Nazem Kadri has contributed 48 points (23 goals, 25 assists).

The Maple Leafs are also facing challenges, having lost five of their last six games. They opened a four-game home stand with losses to the Panthers and Senators. Toronto is third in the Atlantic Division with 81 points, tied with the Lightning and four points behind the Panthers.

Toronto’s offense has been more productive, averaging 3.17 goals per game (11th in the league), while their defense has conceded 2.97 goals per game (18th). Mitch Marner leads the team with 80 points (21 goals, 59 assists), followed by William Nylander with 68 points (37 goals, 31 assists) and Auston Matthews with 57 points (24 goals, 33 assists).

Goaltending Matchup

Calgary’s Dustin Wolf is expected to start in goal. The 23-year-old has a 22-13-5 record this season, with a 2.54 goals-against average (GAA), a .914 save percentage (SV%), and three shutouts.

For Toronto, Anthony Stolarz is anticipated to be in net. The 31-year-old has a 13-8-3 record, a 2.39 GAA, a .918 SV%, and one shutout this season.

Notably, Toronto has won each of its last six games against Calgary following a home loss. However, the Maple Leafs have lost each of their last four games as home favorites, and the underdogs have won five of Toronto’s last six games at Scotiabank Arena.

Flames vs. Maple Leafs Betting Prediction

I’m taking the over, which is 6 goals at Bovada.lv. The over is 6-3-1 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams. The over is also 6-3-1 in the Maple Leafs’ last 10 games entering play tonight.

Flames vs. Maple Leafs Prediction: OVER 6

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