Patriots vs. Bills Free Pick
BUFFALO, NY (The Spread) – AFC East rivals square off in Buffalo today when the Bills host the Patriots at 1:00PM ET. Will New England cover as a small road favorite?
ODDS: According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Patriots are 3-point road favorites versus the host Bills, while the over/under total for today’s game is currently sitting at 45 points. Of the current wagers on this matchup, just under 70% of the betting public currently favors New England minus the points.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Patriots opened as 2-point favorites but the spread has jumped to 3 at most online and Vegas sports books, while the total opened at 43 and has climbed to 45 at the majority of books.
SEASON RECORDS: The Patriots enter play with a 3-2 record and are 2-3 against the spread this season, while the Bills are also 3-2 but have covered in three of their first five games. While the over is 3-2 in New England’s first five contests this season, the under is a perfect 5-0 in Buffalo’s five games in 2014.
NFL FREE PICK: Take New England. According to latest NFL trends, the Patriots are 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 road games versus the Bills and 20-9-1 against the number in their last 30 games overall versus Buffalo. The Pats are also 4-1 against the number versus a team with a winning record, 11-4 ATS in tiher last 15 games on turf and 24-9-1 ATS in their last 34 games in October. On the other side, the Bills are just 8-23-1 ATS in their last 32 games following a straight up win, 1-4 ATS in their last five games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game, and 6-16-1 ATS in their last 23 games following an ATS win.
2014 NFL WEEK 6 FREE PICK: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -3
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