Giants vs. Brewers Prediction
Are the Brewers a good bet to upset the Giants tonight at 7:40PM ET at Miller Park?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Giants are -126 money line favorites to beat the Brewers, who have odds of +106 to pull off the upset at home. With Jeff Samardzija set to face Junior Guerra in the pitching matchup, the over/under sits at 8.5 runs.
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Latest from Rotoworld: Samardzija allowed three earned runs, nine hits and no walks with five strikeouts over four innings in a loss Tuesday against the Nationals. Samardzija needed 100 pitches to record 12 outs, throwing 67 of his pitches for strikes. He entered Tuesday’s game with five quality starts over the past six outings, appearing to turn a corner after starting out 0-4 with a 7.40 ERA through his first four outings. Give Samardzija the benefit of the doubt and stick with him for his next scheduled start Monday in Milwaukee.
Guerra kept the Mets scoreless for six frames to lead his club to a 7-1 win on Wednesday. The Mets managed only four hits — all singles — against him. He struck out four batters and walked three in the outing. Guerra has allowed just one run in 11 2/3 innings in his two starts since being activated from the disabled list. He suffered a strained calf in his Opening Day start and missed almost two months with the injury. This was his first win of the season. He owns a 1.84 ERA with 13 strikeouts in 14 2/3 innings. He went 9-3 with a 2.81 ERA in 20 starts last year as a 31-year-old rookie.
Bet Tonight’s Giants vs. Brewers Game
OUR PREDICTION: The Giants are just 8-18 in Samardzija’s last 26 starts, are 2-5 in his last seven road outings, and have dropped six of his last seven starts when he’s coming off five days of rest. The Brewers, meanwhile, are 8-1 in Guerra’s last nine starts versus an opponent with a losing record and are a perfect 4-0 in his last four outings when their opponent scored five runs or more in its previous game.
MONDAY MLB PREDICTION: MILWAUKEE BREWERS +106