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MLB Predictions: Will Cubs cover on runline vs. Marlins? 4/1/18

Cubs vs. Marlins Prediction

Are the Chicago Cubs a good runline play on Easter Sunday when they wrap up their series against the Miami Marlins at 1:10 p.m. ET?

Game Snapshot

(951) Chicago Cubs at (952) Miami Marlins

Sunday, April 1, 2018

TV: N/A, 1:10 p.m. ET

Likely Pitching Matchup: Jose Quintana vs. Dillon Peters

CURRENT ODDS

According to oddsmakers from online sports book YouWager, the Cubs are -210 money line favorites to beat the Marlins, who are +188 on the money line to pull off the upset. The total, meanwhile, sits at 8 runs.

LINE MOVEMENT

The Cubs are -210 money line favorites after opening as -205 money line favorites, while the Marlins’ odds climbed from +170 up to +188. The total, meanwhile, hit the board at 8 and that’s where it currently sits.

Bet Tonight’s MLB Games

PUBLIC BETTING INFORMATION

As of this writing, 83% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Cubs to win on the money line. Meanwhile, 74% of the betting tickets are on the over.

OUR PREDICTION

I love the pitching matchup for the Cubs, who will start Quintana against a punchless Marlins’ lineup in a pitcher’s park. Quintana improved in the second half last season and continues to be an improved road pitcher. He’s dominant against lefties and fares well against righties, although a right-hander will take him deep from time to time. On the other side is the 25-year-old Peters, who threw just 30 innings at the major league level. He doesn’t have great strikeout potential with his 89-92 mph fastball. If he can get his curve working then he might be able to keep this dangerous Chicago lineup off balance but Peters is also inconsistent with that pitch. Dating back to last season, the Cubs are 7-2 in Quintana’s last nine starts and a perfect 4-0 in his last four outings when he faces a team with a losing record.

SUNDAY MLB PREDICTION: CHICAGO CUBS -1.5

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