Giants vs. Mets Prediction
Will tonight’s matchup between the Giants and Mets go over the total when the last two NL pennant winners clash at Citi Field at 7:10PM ET?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Mets are -151 money line favorites over the Giants, who have odds of +139 to pull off the upset on the road. With Jake Peavy set to face Steven Matz in the pitching matchup, the over/under is sitting at 7.5 runs.
Bet Tonight’s Giants vs. Mets Game
Peavy’s home/road splits have been drastic over the past three seasons. At home he’s posted a 16-7 record with a 2.86 ERA, but on the road he’s just 11-17 with a 4.76 ERA while allowing 124 earned runs over 234.2 innings of work. He’s also allowed 34 home runs on the road compared to just 21 at home.
But instead of taking the Mets and laying the -151, I think there’s more value in the over tonight. The over is a perfect 4-0 in Peavy’s last four starts overall and has cashed in six of the Giants’ last seven games. The over is also 5-1 in San Francisco’s last six games versus National League East opponets.
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Furthermore, the over is 4-1 in Matz’s last five starts overall and 4-1-1 in the Mets’ last six games when their opponent allows five runs or more in their previous game. The over is 5-1 in New York’s last six games when the team is laying in the first game of a new series. Thus, our prediction for tonight’s game is to grab the over.
FRIDAY MLB PREDICTION: METS/GIANTS OVER 7.5
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