Mets vs. Marlins Prediction
Will Jacob deGrom shut down the Marlins to help the Mets rebound from their loss last night in Miami?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Mets are -140 money line favorites versus the Marlins, who have odds of +120 to pull off the upset at home tonight. With deGrom set to face Conley in the pitching matchup, the over/under currently sits at 7.5 runs, down from the original number of 8.
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METS KEY TRENDS: The Mets are just 1-4 in deGrom’s last five starts against the Marlins and are 1-4 in his last five starts overall. That said, they’re 5-2 in their last seven games coming off a loss and have won 20 of deGrom’s last 27 outings after scoring two runs or fewer in their previous game.
MARLINS KEY TRENDS: The Marlins are 5-1 in Conley’s last six starts versus National League East opponents, are 6-2 in his last eight home starts and are 7-3 in his last 10 outings overall. The Marlins are just 2-5 in their last seven games coming off a win, however, and have dropped 10 of their last 12 when their opponent scores two runs or fewer in its previous game.
Bet Tonight’s Mets vs. Marlins Game
OUR PICK: deGrom has been outstanding to start the season and is coming off a no-decision against the Phillies in which he allowed just two runs on six hits and a pair of walks on Monday. His ERA currently sits at 1.50 and his WHIP is 0.47 over 12 innings of work. Conley, meanwhile, has seen his routine thrown out of whack. He pitched in Thursday’s 16-inning game, allowing the game-winning home run and subsequently had his start Friday pushed back. At -140 on the money line, the Mets are being offered at a decent price for bettors.
SATURDAY MLB FREE PICK: NEW YORK METS -140