Thursday NBA Free Pick
(The Spread) – The Denver Nuggets have responded well to the trade of Carmelo Anthony and may be primed to pull off an upset on Thursday night.
View Current NBA Basketball Odds
Oddsmakers from online sports book SBGGLOBAL.com have made the Suns a 3.5-point favorite over the Nuggets, while the over/under total for tonight’s game is currently sitting at 217 points.
Denver enters Thursday’s game with a 37-27 record overall but is 11-20 on the road. They’re 30-31-3 against the spread all-told and 14-16-1 ATS on the road this year according to latest NBA trends.
Phoenix is 33-29 overall and is five games above .500 at home this year at 18-13. They’re 28-32-2 against the number and a paltry 12-18-1 ATS at home. The Suns are averaging 105.5 points per game this season and 105.3 points against.
NBA Free Pick: The new-look Nuggets are 5-2 since they traded Carmelo Anthony and are currently tied for fifth place with the Trail Blazers in the Western Conference. When we look at this matchup on paper, we see a Denver team that is averaging more points per game, has a higher field goal percentage, a higher free throw percentage, is the better defensive team, creates more turnovers and snags more rebounds. On top of that, they’re the team getting points tonight, largely because they’ve struggled on the road this season. Forget the road struggles though: the Nuggets are 7-1 against the spread in their last eight games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog. The Suns, meanwhile, are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games and 1-4 ATS in their last five games versus the Western Conference. I look for Nene Hilario to continue his hot play of late, and for J.R. Smith to break out of his recent funk.
THURSDAY NBA FREE PICK: DENVER NUGGETS +3.5
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