Mavericks vs. Hornets Pick
Is the under the play tonight when the Mavericks visit the Hornets at 7:00PM ET?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Hornets are 11-point home favorites versus the Mavericks while the over/under currently sits at 193.5 points. While the point spread hasn’t moved, the total has climbed slightly from 193 up to 193.5.
MAVERICKS KEY TRENDS: Dallas is 1-5 against the spread in its last six road games and is 0-4 against the number in its last four games against Eastern Conference foes. The Mavs are also 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 games overall, are 2-5 against the number in their last seven games versus an opponent with a winning record, and have failed to cover in nine of their last 12 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in its previous game.
HORNETS KEY TRENDS: The Hornets have covered in five straight games played on Thursday and are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games following a double-digit loss at home. They’re also 4-1 at the betting window in their last five games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points and are 5-2 against the number in their last seven games against Western Conference foes. That said, they have failed to cover in five of their last seven games overall.
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OUR PREDICTION: The under is 9-3-1 in the last 13 meetings between these two teams in Charlotte and has cashed in five of the last seven meetings overall. The under is also 8-2 in the Mavericks’ last 10 games played on Thursday and is 7-3 in their last 10 games versus Eastern Conference competition. While the over has been cashing in recent Hornets games (4-1 in their last five contents), I don’t feel confident that the Mavericks will contribute enough offensively to push the combined score over. (Dallas ranks 28th in the NBA in offensive efficiency and Charlotte is ninth in defensive efficiency.)
THURSDAY NBA PREDICTION: MAVERICKS/HORNETS UNDER 193.5