Mississippi St vs. Alabama Preview
TUSCALOOSA, AL – Alabama quarterback Greg McElroy awoke Sunday morning with a sickening feeling. The 11th-ranked Crimson Tide had just lost for the second time to fall to a disappointing 7-2 on the season.
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“It feels like the end of the world, it really does,” McElroy said Monday.
The 17th-ranked Mississippi State Bulldogs, meanwhile, are enjoying their best run in more than a decade. The perennial SEC Western Division underdogs are 7-2 heading into Saturday’s visit to Tuscaloosa.
It’s all a matter of perspective.
Oddsmakers from online sports book Sportsbook.com have made Alabama –13.5 point spread favorites for Saturday’s game against Mississippi State. Current NCAA Public Betting Information shows that 73% of more than 801 bets for this game have been placed on Alabama –13.5.
Alabama is use to looking down from the top of the standings or up from the bottom like Mississippi State. The Bulldogs (7-2, 3-2 Southeastern Conference) have won six in a row since early losses to No. 3 Auburn and No. 5 LSU, their longest streak since opening the 1999 season with eight straight wins.
They get another chance to show how far they’ve come.
“It would be a big win for us,” Mississippi State coach Dan Mullen said. “We have pretty high expectations of ourselves and expectations of how we want our season to be. We’ve been successful to a point so far, so that would be a natural deal for us to improve on that success and continue on our good year.”
The talk in Tuscaloosa Monday was about what’s wrong with the Tide. The defending national champions are coming off a 24-21 loss at No. 5 LSU that all but killed their hopes for a repeat. It also left Alabama needing plenty of help to win a third straight division title.
The results have left the Tide crimson-faced after back-to-back perfect regular seasons, even with a perfectly respectable record.
The team that decimated Florida 31-6, then lost to South Carolina and looked imposing in the second half of a blowout at Tennessee hasn’t been able to impose its will on opposing teams on a weekly basis like it did the past two seasons.
“It’s disappointing for all of us, of course, with the aspirations we had coming into the season,” McElroy said. “That’s why I think expectations can become so far out of reach.
“All is not lost with this team. We just have to regulate our confidence and be able to go out there and execute consistently. That’s really what’s separated this year’s team from last year’s team, just not being as consistent as we were.”
Coach Nick Saban uses phrases like being too “results-oriented” instead of playing to an individual and collective “standard.”
The Tide is hardly out of the running for a BCS game, but Saban is eager to see if his players can respond when the title talk has dwindled down. It’s been awhile since they weren’t contenders.
“Am I concerned that this team has the pride in performance to do that?” Saban said. “I think it’s a reality check for them to see how important it is to you and what you’re willing to do to make it happen.”
Mississippi State linebacker Chris White has his own idea of how the Tide will respond to its latest defeat.
“I think they’ll probably come in madder than ever and more ready than ever,” White said.
The records are essentially the same. Perception isn’t equal, though.
Alabama is a nearly two-touchdown favorite over the Bulldogs. The Tide, after all, boasts a 72-18-3 lead in the series (including one forfeit and a vacated win) and has won the last two meetings by a combined 63-10.
“That’s a lot of disrespect,” Mississippi State running back Vick Ballard said of the point spread. “I didn’t even know that. I don’t know how they do any of those odds. We just have to come out and prove them wrong on Saturday.”
Mississippi State has used a formula that’s familiar to the Tide: a strong running game and defense, limited turnovers and just plain consistency.
That’s why it doesn’t seem strange to Tide center William Vlachos to see the Bulldogs hanging in there with only Auburn and LSU having more wins among SEC teams. Arkansas is also 7-2.
“If you go look at the way they’ve played, they deserve it,” Vlachos said. “They’ve earned everything they’ve got. They’ve beaten people the right way, they’ve played physical, they’ve played smart, and they’re good in every facet of the game.”
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