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Boca Raton Bowl: Akron vs. Florida Atlantic to be High-Scoring? 12/19/17

Akron vs. Florida Atlantic Total Pick

Will the Akron Zips and Florida Atlantic Owls turn tonight’s Boca Raton Bowl into a high-scoring affair at 7:00 p.m. ET?

Game Info

Who: Akron (7-6) at Florida Atlantic (10-3)

When: ESPN, 7:00 p.m. ET

Where: FAU Football Stadium, Boca Raton, FL

Current Point Spread & Over/Under Total

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the over/under currently sits at 65.5 points after hitting the board at 61.5. The Owls, meanwhile, are 22.5-point home favorites versus the Zips, who opened as 17.5-point underdogs.

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Who is the Public Backing?

As of Tuesday afternoon, Florida Atlantic is receiving a 64% of betting tickets and 74% of the money is also on the Owls to cover the spread.

Injury Report

Wide receiver Ventell Bryant (leg) and quarterback Logan Marchi (lower body) are questionable for Akron, while Zach Guiser (concussion) and Warren Ball (leg) are out for the season.

On the other side, Ray Ellis (knee) and Matthew Weiner (knee) are both out for the year for FAU and Harrison Bryant is questionable with an undisclosed injury.

OUR PREDICTION: Over. I fully admit that I’m concerned about Akron providing enough points to help contribute to the over. That said, the over is 4-0 in the Zips’ last four games versus Conference USA opponents and I won’t need many contributions from Akron to push the score over.

The over is also 6-1 in the Owls’ last seven games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game, is 4-1 in their last five games coming off a win of more than 20 points and 8-3 in their last 11 games coming off any win. In their last seven games coming off a successful cover, the over is 5-2.

Lane Kiffin’s offense is averaging nearly 40 points per game, which ranks ninth in the nation. They have one of the most explosive offenses in the country and Kiffin isn’t ashamed to run up the score. This Owls offense can score at will so it doesn’t make much sense to take the under.

 

BOCA RATON BOWL PREDICTION: AKRON/FLORIDA ATLANTIC OVER 65.5

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