College Football Predictions & Preview: Missouri vs. Arkansas 11/22/17

Missouri vs. Arkansas Total Prediction

Is the over a good bet to cash when the Missouri Tigers wrap up their regular season against the Arkansas Razorbacks this Friday afternoon at 2:30 p.m. ET?

Game Info

Matchup: Missouri (6-5) at Arkansas (4-7)

TV: CBS, 2:30 p.m. ET

Line: Missouri -10

Current Point Spread & Over/Under Total

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the over/under currently sits at 70 points after hitting the board at 71.5. Missouri, meanwhile, opened as a 13-point road favorite but the line has dropped a full field goal in favor of Arkansas and is now sitting at 10.

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Who is the Public Backing?

As of Wednesday morning, 55% of betting tickets are on the Tigers to cover as a double-digit road favorite.

Key Betting Trends

The under has cashed in all five of the last five meetings between these two teams and in the last five meetings, the home team also covered in every game.

OUR PREDICTION: I don’t care what the head-to-head trends say: This one is going over. The over is 4-1 in the Razorbacks’ last five home games, is 5-1 in their last six games coming off an ATS win, and is a perfect 5-0 in their last five games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous contest.

In their five game winning streak, the Tigers have scored 68, 52, 45, 50 and 45 points. Granted, their defense has been outstanding during that stretch, but Arkansas should contribute enough to push the combined score over. The Razorbacks are averaging nearly four touchdowns a game and are allowing 35.1 points per contest, which ranks 111th in the nation. I don’t see this matchup turning into a defensive struggle.

 

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 13 PICK: MISSOURI/ARKANSAS OVER 70

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