NFL Picks: Is the total being set too high for the Vikings and Packers?

Vikings vs. Packers Pick

Will the Green Bay Packers remain on their offensive hot streak when they host the Minnesota Vikings on Saturday at 1PM ET?

According to the oddsmakers at BetDSI, the Packers are favored at home in this game, as they are getting odds of -6.5 points against the Vikings. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 43 points. Minnesota won the first meeting this season on Sept. 18, 17-14. The Vikings have won two straight over Green Bay and the two have hit the over in four straight meetings.

Bet on Vikings vs. Packers

Green Bay is on a four-game win streak to move to 8-6 on the season. They are coming off a 30-27 win at Chicago last week to hit the over in their second straight game. They are now 8-6 with the over this season. Green Bay has hit 30 points or more in two straight and is now averaging 25.9 points per game. The team got a big boost last week when Ty Montgomery rushed for 162 yards and two touchdowns and Christine Michael added 45 yards on four carries. A run game would help Aaron Rodgers, who is already playing well with 3,781 passing yards and 32 touchdowns with just seven interceptions. Jordy Nelson has over 1,000 yards on the season with 12 touchdowns while Davante Adams has 922 yards and nine scores. Defensively, Green Bay is giving up 24.2 points and 372.9 yards per game.

Minnesota is coming off a 34-6 thrashing at home at the hands at Indianapolis. The Vikings are now 7-7 on the year and out of playoff contention. They have hit the under in three of their last four games and are now 9-5 with the under in 2016. The Minnesota offense has become a complete mess. The team is now averaging just 18.9 points per game for the season. They have the league’s worst run game at 70.6 rushing yards per contest. Sam Bradford has gotten worse as the season has went on. He has 3,245 passing yards with 14 touchdowns and four interceptions this year. He could be without his top target in Stefon Diggs, who is questionable with a hip injury. Defensively, Minnesota has been good for the most part despite last week’s struggles. They average just 18.5 points and 330.6 yards allowed per game. Their pass defense is strong, giving up only 224.4 yards per game through the air. They have forced 22 turnovers in 2016 and have 35 sacks.

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This will be an interesting game as Minnesota looked like it quit last week and really doesn’t have much to play for other than pride and trying to spoil things for their rival. Green Bay is hot on offense, but facing a tough defense when it is playing hard. Minnesota still shouldn’t do much on offense in Lambeau, but I think the Packers won’t quite put up their usual numbers either. I think the under hits because the Vikings won’t be able to carry their weight.

 

NFL WEEK 16 PICK: VIKINGS/PACKERS UNDER 43

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