NFL Week 15 Picks: Is the total too low for the Dolphins vs. Jets?

Dolphins vs. Jets Pick

With injuries and struggling QB play an issue, will the New York Jets and Miami Dolphins have a low-scoring game this Saturday at 8:25PM ET?

According to the oddsmakers at BetDSI, the Dolphins are favored on the road, as they are getting odds of -2.5 points against the Jets. The over/under total for the contest is listed at just 38 points. The Jets have won three of the last four in this series, but the Dolphins picked up a 27-23 win back on Nov. 6. These two have hit the over in three of their last four meetings.

Bet on Dolphins vs. Jets

Miami is coming off a 26-23 win last weekend to stay in the playoff hunt at 8-5. They currently sit outside the AFC playoff picture in the third Wild Card spot, but are tied with the Broncos for the last position. Despite the win last week, Miami suffered a massive injury as Ryan Tannehill suffered ACL and MCL sprains in his left knee and will be out indefinitely. He threw for 2,995 yards and 19 touchdowns this season. Matt Moore takes over as starter. He has thrown just 5 passes this season. TJ Yates will serve as his backup. Moore takes over an offense averaging 21.6 points and 343.3 yards per game this season. Miami has hit the over in 9 of 13 games, though. Jay Ajayi will be the new offensive leader. He has rushed for 956 yards and seven touchdowns. Jarvis Landry is still a threat at receiver, as he has caught 79 passes for 923 yards and two scores. Defensively, Miami is giving up 23.2 points and 382.2 yards per game. They have struggled to stop the run, allowing 133.8 yards per game on the ground. The unit has forced 21 turnovers this year and has 28 sacks. Cameron Wake is leading the way with 9.5 sacks.

The Jets managed to end a four-game losing streak last week with a 23-17 OT win at San Francisco. New York is just 4-9 on the year now and 6-6-1 with the over/under total. The Jets have an offense that is averaging just 17.6 points and 344.7 yards per game on the season. New York has handed the reigns over to Bryce Petty. He has thrown for 574 yards with two touchdowns and four interceptions. He had 257 yards with one interception in last week’s win. New York is expected to be without Matt Forte in the backfield because of a knee injury. Bilal Powell will get the call in that case. Powell has run for 456 yards and three scores this year. Defensively, the Jets are giving up 24.9 points 367 yards per game. Leonard Williams is leading the defense with 53 tackles and seven sacks.

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It’s hard to see either offense having a lot of success in this game. Petty is still figuring things out and not playing all that great. Forte is likely out too, so the Jets will be lacking in playmakers. The Dolphins are likely to be a mess with Moore taking over on a short week of practice. Ajayi will be the focal point, but New York can key in on him and keep this game a defensive grind.

 

NFL WEEK 15 PICK: DOLPHINS/JETS UNDER 38

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