Browns vs. Dolphins Pick
Will another QB injury to the Cleveland Browns lead to a low-scoring game with the Miami Dolphins on Sunday at 1PM ET?
According to the oddsmakers at BetDSI, the Dolphins are heavily favored at home, as they are getting odds of -10 points against the Browns. The over/under total for the game has been set at 42.5 points. Cleveland has actually won four of its last five meetings with Miami and the Browns are 4-1-1 against the spread in the last six meetings. These two have hit the under in five of their last six encounters.
There isn’t much positive going on for the Browns right now. They are off to an 0-2 start where they have seen two quarterbacks get hurt. They haven’t won a football game since Dec. 13 of last year. After a 29-10 loss to the Eagles in the opener where Robert Griffin III suffered a shoulder injury, the team blew a 20-2 lead at home to the Ravens last week. In that game, Josh McCown injured his shoulder and Corey Coleman broke his hand. Now, the team is down to Cody Kessler at QB and without its first-round pick at receiver. Defensively, Cleveland is giving up nearly 400 yards per game, including 290 per game through the air.
Miami is also off to an 0-2 start following losses to the Seahawks and Patriots on the road. The Dolphins have been getting carved up on defense, allowing 427.5 yards per game through the air. Offensively, moving the ball on the ground has been a big problem, as they are posting just 67 yards per game. Also, Arian Foster is now injured and unlikely to play. This puts even more on Ryan Tannehill, who is actually the leading rusher with 52 yards. He has thrown for 573 yards and two scores, but also has two interceptions and has been sacked five times.
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What can we expect from this game? It is likely either to be an awful game with little offensive play or an absolute shootout. Doesn’t see like there can be much in-between. Due to the injuries to the Browns, I think they will really have trouble moving the ball and that will put pressure on the defense to step up. Miami isn’t an offensive power, so Cleveland’s defense should be able to do enough to keep the total below 43.
NFL WEEK 3 PICK: BROWNS/DOLPHINS UNDER 42.5