NFL Week 4 Picks: Miami Dolphins vs. Cincinnati Bengals 9/29/16

Dolphins vs. Bengals Pick

Will the Thursday Night Football matchup this week in the NFL be a defensive struggle between the Dolphins and Bengals at 8:25PM ET?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Bengals are 7-point home favorites versus the Dolphins while the over/under currently sits at 44.5 points. As of this writing, neither the side nor the total have moved off the original numbers posted by oddsmakers.

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The Dolphins picked up their first win of the season last Sunday with a 30-24 overtime victory over the Browns, who should have won the game but kicker Cody Parkey missed three field goals, including one in the closing seconds. Miami is now off to a 1-2 start to the season and covered only once, which came in Week 1 as a 10.5-point underdog in Seattle.

The Bengals lost for the second consecutive week, dropping a 29-17 decision as a 3.5-point favorite versus the defending Super Bowl champion Broncos in their home-opener last Sunday. Cincinnati is now 1-2 on the year and 1-2 against the spread, with its lone victory and cover coming in Week 1 as a 1-point underdog in a 23-22 victory over the New York Jets.

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OUR PICK: The under is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings between these two teams and is a perfect 6-0 in the Bengals’ last six games versus an opponent that has a losing record. The under is also 3-1-1 in Cincinnati’s last five games played on Thursday night, is 8-3 in its last 11 games versus AFC opponents and is 10-4 in its last 14 games overall. The under is 5-2 in the Bengals’ last seven home games and is 7-0-1 in the Dolphins’ last eight Thursday night games as well.

 

NFL WEEK 4 PICK: DOLPHINS/BENGALS UNDER 44.5