Cowboys vs. Packers Pick
Will the Cowboys and Packers play over the total or fall short for bettors when the teams meet at 4:25PM ET on Sunday?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Packers are 4-point home favorites versus the Cowboys after opening at that same -4 number. As for the total, the number opened at 46.5 and has been bet up to 47.
Dak Prescott enters play owning a 86.7 total QBR, which is second best in the NFL behind Matt Ryan’s 88.2 figure. Tony Romo posted only one 5-game start better in his career, which game in 2007 when he posted a QBR of 86.9. Prescott has also thrown 155 passes without an interception to start his career and according to Elias, the rookie needs only eight more pass attempts to pass Tom Brady for most attempts to start a career before their first pick.
The Packers have won five straight games against the Cowboys, which includes playoffs. The only longer win streak for the Pack in the series was the first six games between the two teams ever played, which came between 1960-68. Aaron Rodgers has thrown 170 career regular season passes against the Cowboys with no interceptions, which includes 205 in the playoffs.
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OUR PICK: Sunday’s matchup will pit the NFL’s best rush offense against the league’s top rush defense. The Cowboy shave rushed at the highest rate this season (48% of plays), averaging a NFL-best 155.2 rush yards per game, including 180 in their Week 5 win over the Bengals. But the Packers have allowed just 171 rushing yards all season, which is top in the league. This is going to be more of a defensive struggle than people realize. If Dallas can’t run the ball, that puts more onus on Prescott and the passing game. And while the rookie has played exceptionally well to start the season, he might find it difficult moving the ball through the air.
NFL WEEK 6 PICK: COWBOYS/PACKERS UNDER 47