Saints vs. 49ers Pick
Is the total set too high in Sunday’s Saints and 49ers matchup at 4:05PM ET?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the 49ers are now 4.5-point home underdogs versus the Saints after opening as a 3-point dog earlier this week. The total, meanwhile, is sitting at 53 after opening at 51.
SAINTS KEY TRENDS: The Saints are 5-0 against the spread in their last five road games and have covered in four straight games overall. They’re also 4-1 at the betting window in their last five games versus NFC opponents but have covered just three times in their last 10 games when facing a team with a losing record.
49ERS KEY TRENDS: The 49ers have been a horrible bet over the last two years, going 8-20-1 against the spread in their last 29 games overall. They’re also winless at 0-5 against the number in their last five games coming off a loss and are 0-5 at the betting window in their last five games versus NFC opponents as well.
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OUR PREDICTION: The over is 8-0 in the last eight meetings between these two teams in San Francisco but I don’t see how Colin Kaepernick and the Niners’ offense will score enough to help push the combined score over on Sunday – even against a bad Saints defense. The Niners probably won’t have Carlos Hyde again this week and the team is lacking playmakers in the passing game (not that Kaepernick could hit them if they did). The Saints, meanwhile, aren’t as explosive offensively on the road as they are at home, so with that in mind it would appear to me that the total is set too high for this game. In fact, the under is 20-7 in the 49ers’ last 27 home games and is 5-1 in the Saints’ last six road games.
NFL WEEK 9 PREDICTION: SAINTS/49ERS UNDER 53